Portland Public Library

Chances are--, adventures in probability, Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan

Label
Chances are--, adventures in probability, Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan
Language
eng
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
index present
Literary Form
non fiction
Main title
Chances are--
Oclc number
62741554
Responsibility statement
Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan
Sub title
adventures in probability
Summary
A layman's journey into the realm of probability. We search for certainty, but find only likelihood. All things are possible, only one thing actually happens; everything else is in the realm of probability. The twin disciplines of probability and statistics underpin every modern science and sketch the shape of all purposeful group activity--politics, economics, medicine, law, sports--giving humans a handle on the essential uncertainty of their existence. Yet while we are all aware of the hard facts, most of us still refuse to take account of probability--preferring to drive, not fly; buying into market blips; smoking cigarettes; denying we will ever age. There are some people, though--gamblers, risk buyers, forensic experts, doctors, strategists--who find probability's mass of incomplete uncertainties delightful and revelatory. This book is their story.--From publisher description
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